- The Manchester Derby -
-
# | Elo: 2404
# | Elo: 2102
Probabilities (Home/Draw/Away): 77% | 15% | 8%
Points exchanged: /

Goal difference estimate based on historical outcomes

  • Between Manchester City and Manchester United there is a total rating difference of 402 (= 2404 + 100 (homebonus) - 2102).
  • This prediction is based on 382 historical games with the same rating constellation.
  • Note: The smaller the sample size, the more likely the distribution of historical outcomes will deviate from the theoretical probabilities quoted above.


Head-to-Head statistics for Manchester City versus Manchester United before 2024/08/10

Competition Category Manchester City
⌀ Rating
Manchester United
⌀ Rating
Total:
P

W

D

L

GF

GA
⌀ Elo +/- ∑ Elo +/-
Total
2016
2079
131423158187197 +1+82
Premier League domestic league (tier 1)
2002
2075
112353047160167 +1+113
League Cup domestic cup
2142
2082
95131610 +2+17
FA Cup domestic cup
2085
2116
8206916 -4-35
Community Shield domestic supercup
1998
2160
200224 -6-13



Historical and season performance for Manchester City and Manchester United



Manchester City versus Manchester United: all previous games

Season Date Competition Home Result Probabilities:
H

D

A
Away
2023-20242024/05/25 FA Cup n Manchester City
2421
-17
2404
72 17 10 Manchester United
2085
+17
2102
2023-20242024/03/03 Premier League Manchester City
2393
+3
2396
78 15 8 Manchester United
2088
-3
2085
2023-20242023/10/29 Premier League Manchester United
2108
-9
2099
20 24 56 Manchester City
2390
+9
2399
2022-20232023/06/03 FA Cup n Manchester City
2388
+4
2392
60 23 17 Manchester United
2170
-4
2166
2022-20232023/01/14 Premier League Manchester United
2147
+12
2159
28 28 43 Manchester City
2322
-12
2310
2022-20232022/10/02 Premier League Manchester City
2347
+4
2351
75 16 9 Manchester United
2084
-4
2080
2021-20222022/03/06 Premier League Manchester City
2342
+5
2347
68 19 13 Manchester United
2150
-5
2145
2021-20222021/11/06 Premier League Manchester United
2160
-13
2147
32 29 39 Manchester City
2296
+13
2309
2020-20212021/03/07 Premier League Manchester City
2361
-25
2336
67 20 13 Manchester United
2177
+25
2202
2020-20212021/01/06 League Cup Manchester United
2174
-11
2163
34 29 37 Manchester City
2288
+11
2299
2020-20212020/12/12 Premier League Manchester United
2146
+1
2147
33 29 37 Manchester City
2266
-1
2265
2019-20202020/03/08 Premier League Manchester United
2113
+19
2132
26 28 46 Manchester City
2312
-19
2293
2019-20202020/01/29 League Cup Manchester City
2320
-13
2307
74 16 9 Manchester United
2058
+13
2071
2019-20202020/01/07 League Cup Manchester United
2080
-7
2073
23 26 50 Manchester City
2313
+7
2320
2019-20202019/12/07 Premier League Manchester City
2312
-18
2294
73 17 10 Manchester United
2069
+18
2087
2018-20192019/04/24 Premier League Manchester United
2143
-12
2131
29 29 43 Manchester City
2312
+12
2324
2018-20192018/11/11 Premier League Manchester City
2312
+6
2318
63 21 15 Manchester United
2166
-6
2160
2017-20182018/04/07 Premier League Manchester City
2270
-15
2255
56 24 19 Manchester United
2186
+15
2201
2017-20182017/12/10 Premier League Manchester United
2228
-11
2217
40 29 31 Manchester City
2281
+11
2292
2016-20172017/04/27 Premier League Manchester City
2160
-3
2157
45 28 27 Manchester United
2168
+3
2171
2016-20172016/10/26 League Cup Manchester United
2077
+7
2084
36 29 34 Manchester City
2166
-7
2159
2016-20172016/09/10 Premier League Manchester United
2114
-11
2103
39 29 31 Manchester City
2174
+11
2185
2015-20162016/03/20 Premier League Manchester City
2116
-15
2101
56 24 19 Manchester United
2032
+15
2047
2015-20162015/10/25 Premier League Manchester United
2126
-2
2124
41 29 30 Manchester City
2172
+2
2174
2014-20152015/04/12 Premier League Manchester United
2107
+12
2119
44 28 28 Manchester City
2128
-12
2116
2014-20152014/11/02 Premier League Manchester City
2168
+4
2172
60 23 17 Manchester United
2053
-4
2049
2013-20142014/03/25 Premier League Manchester United
2134
-19
2115
39 29 32 Manchester City
2203
+19
2222
2013-20142013/09/22 Premier League Manchester City
2141
+15
2156
42 29 30 Manchester United
2181
-15
2166
2012-20132013/04/08 Premier League Manchester United
2190
-14
2176
52 26 22 Manchester City
2145
+14
2159
2012-20132012/12/09 Premier League Manchester City
2150
-13
2137
45 28 27 Manchester United
2159
+13
2172
2011-20122012/04/30 Premier League Manchester City
2176
+7
2183
48 27 25 Manchester United
2165
-7
2158
2011-20122012/01/08 FA Cup Manchester City
2197
-14
2183
50 27 23 Manchester United
2163
+14
2177
2011-20122011/10/23 Premier League Manchester United
2249
-31
2218
59 23 18 Manchester City
2138
+31
2169
2011-20122011/08/07 Community Shield n Manchester City
2097
-6
2091
23 26 50 Manchester United
2230
+6
2236
2010-20112011/04/16 FA Cup n Manchester City
2045
+15
2060
18 23 59 Manchester United
2251
-15
2236
2010-20112011/02/12 Premier League Manchester United
2223
+4
2227
64 21 15 Manchester City
2066
-4
2062
2010-20112010/11/10 Premier League Manchester City
2031
+3
2034
25 27 48 Manchester United
2249
-3
2246
2009-20102010/04/17 Premier League Manchester City
2047
-8
2039
30 29 42 Manchester United
2207
+8
2215
2009-20102010/01/27 League Cup Manchester United
2178
+5
2183
62 22 16 Manchester City
2043
-5
2038
2009-20102010/01/19 League Cup Manchester City
2029
+9
2038
30 29 41 Manchester United
2185
-9
2176
2009-20102009/09/20 Premier League Manchester United
2253
+2
2255
74 16 9 Manchester City
1991
-2
1989
2008-20092009/05/10 Premier League Manchester United
2264
+2
2266
79 14 7 Manchester City
1936
-2
1934
2008-20092008/11/30 Premier League Manchester City
1967
-6
1961
21 25 53 Manchester United
2226
+6
2232
2007-20082008/02/10 Premier League Manchester United
2249
-18
2231
77 15 8 Manchester City
1949
+18
1967
2007-20082007/08/19 Premier League Manchester City
1909
+14
1923
21 25 54 Manchester United
2174
-14
2160
2006-20072007/05/05 Premier League Manchester City
1895
-5
1890
18 23 59 Manchester United
2204
+5
2209
2006-20072006/12/09 Premier League Manchester United
2182
+3
2185
77 15 8 Manchester City
1893
-3
1890
2005-20062006/01/14 Premier League Manchester City
1938
+19
1957
27 28 45 Manchester United
2127
-19
2108
2005-20062005/09/10 Premier League Manchester United
2174
-7
2167
68 19 12 Manchester City
1978
+7
1985
2004-20052005/02/13 Premier League Manchester City
1926
-9
1917
22 26 53 Manchester United
2178
+9
2187
2004-20052004/11/07 Premier League Manchester United
2131
-7
2124
70 18 12 Manchester City
1918
+7
1925
2003-20042004/03/14 Premier League Manchester City
1912
+25
1937
21 25 53 Manchester United
2170
-25
2145
2003-20042004/02/14 FA Cup Manchester United
2200
+3
2203
77 15 8 Manchester City
1902
-3
1899
2003-20042003/12/13 Premier League Manchester United
2210
+3
2213
77 15 8 Manchester City
1918
-3
1915
2002-20032003/02/09 Premier League Manchester United
2193
-8
2185
74 17 10 Manchester City
1942
+8
1950
2002-20032002/11/09 Premier League Manchester City
1927
+19
1946
26 27 47 Manchester United
2133
-19
2114
2000-20012001/04/21 Premier League Manchester United
2146
-8
2138
79 14 7 Manchester City
1824
+8
1832
2000-20012000/11/18 Premier League Manchester City
1874
-5
1869
18 23 58 Manchester United
2176
+5
2181
1995-19961996/04/06 Premier League Manchester City
1854
-5
1849
20 24 56 Manchester United
2132
+5
2137
1995-19961996/02/18 FA Cup Manchester United
2093
+3
2096
72 17 10 Manchester City
1857
-3
1854
1995-19961995/10/14 Premier League Manchester United
2101
+2
2103
76 15 8 Manchester City
1814
-2
1812
1994-19951995/02/11 Premier League Manchester City
1891
-11
1880
23 26 50 Manchester United
2125
+11
2136
1994-19951994/11/10 Premier League Manchester United
2137
+5
2142
71 18 11 Manchester City
1917
-5
1912
1993-19941994/04/23 Premier League Manchester United
2142
+3
2145
74 17 10 Manchester City
1890
-3
1887
1993-19941993/11/07 Premier League Manchester City
1923
-7
1916
24 27 49 Manchester United
2148
+7
2155
1992-19931993/03/20 Premier League Manchester City
1976
-1
1975
37 29 33 Manchester United
2055
+1
2056
1992-19931992/11/29 Premier League Manchester United
2029
+6
2035
52 26 22 Manchester City
1984
-6
1978
1991-19921992/04/07 Premier League Manchester United
2097
-6
2091
61 22 16 Manchester City
1967
+6
1973
1991-19921991/11/16 Premier League Manchester City
2018
-2
2016
42 29 29 Manchester United
2057
+2
2059
1990-19911991/05/04 Premier League Manchester United
2052
+6
2058
53 25 21 Manchester City
1993
-6
1987
1990-19911990/10/27 Premier League Manchester City
1944
-2
1942
41 29 30 Manchester United
1987
+2
1989
1989-19901990/02/03 Premier League Manchester United
1932
-5
1927
55 25 20 Manchester City
1854
+5
1859
1989-19901989/09/23 Premier League Manchester City
1827
+21
1848
30 29 41 Manchester United
1977
-21
1956
1986-19871987/03/07 Premier League Manchester United
1988
+6
1994
62 22 16 Manchester City
1852
-6
1846
1986-19871987/01/10 FA Cup Manchester United
1973
+4
1977
60 23 17 Manchester City
1856
-4
1852
1986-19871986/10/26 Premier League Manchester City
1811
+2
1813
27 28 44 Manchester United
1995
-2
1993
1985-19861986/03/22 Premier League Manchester United
2039
-7
2032
66 20 14 Manchester City
1864
+7
1871
1985-19861985/09/14 Premier League Manchester City
1824
-9
1815
19 24 57 Manchester United
2114
+9
2123
1982-19831983/03/05 Premier League Manchester City
1858
-7
1851
24 27 49 Manchester United
2079
+7
2086
1982-19831982/10/23 Premier League Manchester United
2073
-6
2067
65 21 14 Manchester City
1909
+6
1915
1981-19821982/02/27 Premier League Manchester United
2039
-5
2034
56 24 20 Manchester City
1957
+5
1962
1981-19821981/10/10 Premier League Manchester City
1937
0
1937
35 29 35 Manchester United
2035
0
2035
1980-19811981/02/21 Premier League Manchester City
1961
+8
1969
44 28 28 Manchester United
1983
-8
1975
1980-19811980/09/27 Premier League Manchester United
2037
-7
2030
68 19 13 Manchester City
1846
+7
1853
1979-19801980/03/22 Premier League Manchester United
2014
+4
2018
65 21 15 Manchester City
1856
-4
1852
1979-19801979/11/10 Premier League Manchester City
1923
+15
1938
36 29 34 Manchester United
2013
-15
1998
1978-19791979/02/10 Premier League Manchester City
1990
-25
1965
54 25 21 Manchester United
1926
+25
1951
1978-19791978/09/30 Premier League Manchester United
1985
+9
1994
40 29 31 Manchester City
2043
-9
2034
1977-19781978/03/15 Premier League Manchester United
1962
0
1962
36 29 34 Manchester City
2051
0
2051
1977-19781977/09/10 Premier League Manchester City
2083
+9
2092
51 26 23 Manchester United
2042
-9
2033
1976-19771977/03/05 Premier League Manchester United
2033
+12
2045
44 28 28 Manchester City
2056
-12
2044
1976-19771976/09/25 Premier League Manchester City
2006
-19
1987
44 28 27 Manchester United
2021
+19
2040
1975-19761976/05/04 Premier League Manchester United
2024
+9
2033
50 27 23 Manchester City
1990
-9
1981
1975-19761975/11/12 League Cup Manchester City
1977
+11
1988
45 28 27 Manchester United
1991
-11
1980
1975-19761975/09/27 Premier League Manchester City
1965
-2
1963
44 28 27 Manchester United
1982
+2
1984
1973-19741974/04/27 Premier League Manchester United
1924
-13
1911
47 28 25 Manchester City
1916
+13
1929
1973-19741974/03/13 Premier League Manchester City
1966
-5
1961
57 24 19 Manchester United
1878
+5
1883
1972-19731973/04/21 Premier League Manchester United
1949
-2
1947
44 28 27 Manchester City
1966
+2
1968
1972-19731972/11/18 Premier League Manchester City
2007
+9
2016
57 24 19 Manchester United
1916
-9
1907
1971-19721972/04/12 Premier League Manchester United
1945
-15
1930
36 29 34 Manchester City
2034
+15
2049
1971-19721971/11/06 Premier League Manchester City
1972
-1
1971
38 29 33 Manchester United
2045
+1
2046
1970-19711971/05/05 Premier League Manchester City
1914
-12
1902
42 29 29 Manchester United
1949
+12
1961
1970-19711970/12/12 Premier League Manchester United
1966
-22
1944
46 28 26 Manchester City
1971
+22
1993
1969-19701970/03/28 Premier League Manchester United
2012
-14
1998
54 25 21 Manchester City
1946
+14
1960
1969-19701970/01/24 FA Cup Manchester United
1997
+13
2010
44 28 28 Manchester City
2016
-13
2003
1969-19701969/12/17 League Cup Manchester United
1999
0
1999
38 29 33 Manchester City
2076
0
2076
1969-19701969/12/03 League Cup Manchester City
2063
+4
2067
54 25 21 Manchester United
1995
-4
1991
1969-19701969/11/15 Premier League Manchester City
2061
+10
2071
55 25 20 Manchester United
1991
-10
1981
1968-19691969/03/08 Premier League Manchester United
1983
-12
1971
43 29 28 Manchester City
2009
+12
2021
1968-19691968/08/17 Premier League Manchester City
2085
-3
2082
47 28 25 Manchester United
2078
+3
2081
1967-19681968/03/27 Premier League Manchester United
2078
-21
2057
52 26 22 Manchester City
2030
+21
2051
1967-19681967/09/30 Premier League Manchester City
1927
-8
1919
29 29 42 Manchester United
2088
+8
2096
1966-19671967/01/21 Premier League Manchester City
1833
+4
1837
23 26 51 Manchester United
2070
-4
2066
1966-19671966/09/17 Premier League Manchester United
2039
+3
2042
70 18 12 Manchester City
1827
-3
1824
1962-19631963/05/15 Premier League Manchester City
1768
0
1768
36 29 35 Manchester United
1863
0
1863
1962-19631962/09/15 Premier League Manchester United
1907
-15
1892
55 25 20 Manchester City
1829
+15
1844
1961-19621962/02/10 Premier League Manchester City
1842
-17
1825
40 29 31 Manchester United
1897
+17
1914
1961-19621961/09/23 Premier League Manchester United
2002
+4
2006
61 23 17 Manchester City
1879
-4
1875
1960-19611961/03/04 Premier League Manchester City
1837
-15
1822
35 29 35 Manchester United
1939
+15
1954
1960-19611960/12/31 Premier League Manchester United
1937
+9
1946
58 24 19 Manchester City
1840
-9
1831
1959-19601960/02/06 Premier League Manchester United
1978
-6
1972
61 22 17 Manchester City
1853
+6
1859
1959-19601959/09/19 Premier League Manchester City
1807
+22
1829
26 28 46 Manchester United
2002
-22
1980
1958-19591959/02/14 Premier League Manchester United
1982
+7
1989
62 22 16 Manchester City
1850
-7
1843
1958-19591958/09/27 Premier League Manchester City
1868
-1
1867
38 29 32 Manchester United
1939
+1
1940
1957-19581957/12/28 Premier League Manchester City
1952
0
1952
37 29 34 Manchester United
2038
0
2038
1957-19581957/08/31 Premier League Manchester United
2095
+5
2100
69 19 12 Manchester City
1889
-5
1884
1956-19571957/02/02 Premier League Manchester City
1899
-12
1887
28 28 43 Manchester United
2073
+12
2085
1956-19571956/10/24 Community Shield Manchester City
1898
-7
1891
27 28 46 Manchester United
2091
+7
2098
1956-19571956/09/22 Premier League Manchester United
2090
+5
2095
65 21 14 Manchester City
1926
-5
1921
1955-19561955/12/31 Premier League Manchester United
1966
+6
1972
51 26 23 Manchester City
1928
-6
1922
1955-19561955/09/03 Premier League Manchester City
1881
+8
1889
41 29 30 Manchester United
1923
-8
1915

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