Newcastle United
-
Arsenal FC
#15 | Elo: 2142
League Cup, 2025/02/05
#5 | Elo: 2279
→
Probabilities (Home/Draw/Away): 32% | 29% | 39%
→
Points exchanged: /

Goal difference estimate based on historical outcomes

  • Between Newcastle United and Arsenal FC there is a total rating difference of -37 (= 2142 + 100 (homebonus) - 2279).
  • This prediction is based on 1729 historical games with the same rating constellation.
  • Note: The smaller the sample size, the more likely the distribution of historical outcomes will deviate from the theoretical probabilities quoted above.


Head-to-Head statistics for Newcastle United versus Arsenal FC before 2025/02/05

Competition Category Newcastle United
⌀ Rating		 Arsenal FC
⌀ Rating		 Total:
P
W
D
L
GF
GA		 ⌀ Elo +/- ∑ Elo +/-
Total
1941
2062
 116322361109179 0+14
Premier League domestic league (tier 1)
1937
2056
 107312254106160 0+46
FA Cup domestic cup
1961
2122
 5014111 -5-26
League Cup domestic cup
2031
2149
 410328 -2-6



Historical and season performance for Newcastle United and Arsenal FC



Newcastle United versus Arsenal FC: all previous games

Season Date Competition Home → Result Probabilities:
H
D
A		 Away →
2024-20252025/01/07 League Cup Arsenal FC
2309
 -18
2291
0 - 2
 65 21 14 Newcastle United
2147
 +18
2165
2024-20252024/11/02 Premier League Newcastle United
2095
 +12
2107
1 - 0
 28 28 44 Arsenal FC
2272
 -12
2260
2023-20242024/02/24 Premier League Arsenal FC
2217
 +8
2225
4 - 1
 61 22 17 Newcastle United
2093
 -8
2085
2023-20242023/11/04 Premier League Newcastle United
2166
 +9
2175
1 - 0
 41 29 30 Arsenal FC
2215
 -9
2206
2022-20232023/05/07 Premier League Newcastle United
2141
 -17
2124
0 - 2
 39 29 31 Arsenal FC
2202
 +17
2219
2022-20232023/01/03 Premier League Arsenal FC
2206
 -5
2201
0 - 0
 58 24 18 Newcastle United
2105
 +5
2110
2021-20222022/05/16 Premier League Newcastle United
1972
 +18
1990
2 - 0
 29 29 42 Arsenal FC
2138
 -18
2120
2021-20222021/11/27 Premier League Arsenal FC
2144
 +4
2148
2 - 0
 73 17 10 Newcastle United
1895
 -4
1891
2020-20212021/05/02 Premier League Newcastle United
1908
 -11
1897
0 - 2
 26 28 46 Arsenal FC
2107
 +11
2118
2020-20212021/01/18 Premier League Arsenal FC
2106
 +5
2111
3 - 0
 70 18 11 Newcastle United
1891
 -5
1886
2020-20212021/01/09 FA Cup Arsenal FC
2109
 +4
2113
2 - 0
 69 19 12 Newcastle United
1904
 -4
1900
2019-20202020/02/16 Premier League Arsenal FC
2065
 +7
2072
4 - 0
 63 22 16 Newcastle United
1923
 -7
1916
2019-20202019/08/11 Premier League Newcastle United
1924
 -8
1916
0 - 1
 27 28 45 Arsenal FC
2109
 +8
2117
2018-20192019/04/01 Premier League Arsenal FC
2110
 +4
2114
2 - 0
 70 18 12 Newcastle United
1896
 -4
1892
2018-20192018/09/15 Premier League Newcastle United
1883
 -7
1876
1 - 2
 26 28 46 Arsenal FC
2080
 +7
2087
2017-20182018/04/15 Premier League Newcastle United
1903
 +13
1916
2 - 1
 25 27 47 Arsenal FC
2110
 -13
2097
2017-20182017/12/16 Premier League Arsenal FC
2134
 +2
2136
1 - 0
 78 15 8 Newcastle United
1830
 -2
1828
2015-20162016/01/02 Premier League Arsenal FC
2158
 +2
2160
1 - 0
 79 14 7 Newcastle United
1832
 -2
1830
2015-20162015/08/29 Premier League Newcastle United
1851
 -4
1847
0 - 1
 17 22 60 Arsenal FC
2169
 +4
2173
2014-20152015/03/21 Premier League Newcastle United
1902
 -5
1897
1 - 2
 20 24 56 Arsenal FC
2184
 +5
2189
2014-20152014/12/13 Premier League Arsenal FC
2140
 +5
2145
4 - 1
 68 19 13 Newcastle United
1946
 -5
1941
2013-20142014/04/28 Premier League Arsenal FC
2138
 +4
2142
3 - 0
 76 16 9 Newcastle United
1863
 -4
1859
2013-20142013/12/29 Premier League Newcastle United
1970
 -8
1962
0 - 1
 27 28 45 Arsenal FC
2158
 +8
2166
2012-20132013/05/19 Premier League Newcastle United
1905
 -7
1898
0 - 1
 24 27 49 Arsenal FC
2126
 +7
2133
2012-20132012/12/29 Premier League Arsenal FC
2084
 +7
2091
7 - 3
 65 21 15 Newcastle United
1925
 -7
1918
2011-20122012/03/12 Premier League Arsenal FC
2096
 +4
2100
2 - 1
 62 22 16 Newcastle United
1957
 -4
1953
2011-20122011/08/13 Premier League Newcastle United
1925
 +2
1927
0 - 0
 30 29 41 Arsenal FC
2080
 -2
2078
2010-20112011/02/05 Premier League Newcastle United
1916
 +4
1920
4 - 4
 24 26 50 Arsenal FC
2147
 -4
2143
2010-20112010/11/07 Premier League Arsenal FC
2163
 -17
2146
0 - 1
 70 18 12 Newcastle United
1950
 +17
1967
2010-20112010/10/27 League Cup Newcastle United
1947
 -9
1938
0 - 4
 24 27 49 Arsenal FC
2167
 +9
2176
2008-20092009/03/21 Premier League Newcastle United
1878
 -10
1868
1 - 3
 24 27 50 Arsenal FC
2108
 +10
2118
2008-20092008/08/30 Premier League Arsenal FC
2167
 +4
2171
3 - 0
 72 17 11 Newcastle United
1933
 -4
1929
2007-20082008/01/29 Premier League Arsenal FC
2184
 +3
2187
3 - 0
 77 15 8 Newcastle United
1893
 -3
1890
2007-20082008/01/26 FA Cup Arsenal FC
2181
 +3
2184
3 - 0
 76 15 8 Newcastle United
1896
 -3
1893
2007-20082007/12/05 Premier League Newcastle United
1911
 +5
1916
1 - 1
 20 24 56 Arsenal FC
2188
 -5
2183
2007-20082007/09/25 League Cup Arsenal FC
2176
 +3
2179
2 - 0
 71 18 11 Newcastle United
1954
 -3
1951
2006-20072007/04/09 Premier League Newcastle United
1958
 +1
1959
0 - 0
 30 29 41 Arsenal FC
2108
 -1
2107
2006-20072006/11/18 Premier League Arsenal FC
2154
 -7
2147
1 - 1
 68 19 13 Newcastle United
1965
 +7
1972
2005-20062005/12/10 Premier League Newcastle United
1952
 +13
1965
1 - 0
 25 27 48 Arsenal FC
2166
 -13
2153
2005-20062005/08/14 Premier League Arsenal FC
2177
 +4
2181
2 - 0
 70 18 12 Newcastle United
1964
 -4
1960
2004-20052005/01/23 Premier League Arsenal FC
2179
 +3
2182
1 - 0
 68 19 13 Newcastle United
1989
 -3
1986
2004-20052004/12/29 Premier League Newcastle United
1989
 -7
1982
0 - 1
 26 28 46 Arsenal FC
2185
 +7
2192
2003-20042004/04/11 Premier League Newcastle United
2061
 +1
2062
0 - 0
 31 29 40 Arsenal FC
2205
 -1
2204
2003-20042003/09/26 Premier League Arsenal FC
2143
 +4
2147
3 - 2
 64 21 15 Newcastle United
1991
 -4
1987
2002-20032003/02/09 Premier League Newcastle United
2019
 +2
2021
1 - 1
 30 29 41 Arsenal FC
2176
 -2
2174
2002-20032002/11/09 Premier League Arsenal FC
2167
 +4
2171
1 - 0
 64 21 15 Newcastle United
2017
 -4
2013
2001-20022002/03/23 FA Cup Arsenal FC
2109
 +10
2119
3 - 0
 54 25 21 Newcastle United
2045
 -10
2035
2001-20022002/03/09 FA Cup Newcastle United
2051
 0
2051
1 - 1
 36 29 35 Arsenal FC
2148
 0
2148
2001-20022002/03/02 Premier League Newcastle United
2078
 -17
2061
0 - 2
 40 29 31 Arsenal FC
2130
 +17
2147
2001-20022001/12/18 Premier League Arsenal FC
2074
 -22
2052
1 - 3
 54 25 21 Newcastle United
2005
 +22
2027
2000-20012001/05/15 Premier League Newcastle United
1909
 +2
1911
0 - 0
 28 28 44 Arsenal FC
2085
 -2
2083
2000-20012000/12/09 Premier League Arsenal FC
2073
 +9
2082
5 - 0
 59 23 18 Newcastle United
1963
 -9
1954
1999-20002000/05/14 Premier League Newcastle United
1960
 +18
1978
4 - 2
 28 28 44 Arsenal FC
2139
 -18
2121
1999-20001999/10/30 Premier League Arsenal FC
2090
 -7
2083
0 - 0
 70 18 12 Newcastle United
1880
 +7
1887
1998-19991999/02/28 Premier League Newcastle United
1920
 +2
1922
1 - 1
 29 28 43 Arsenal FC
2091
 -2
2089
1998-19991998/10/04 Premier League Arsenal FC
2087
 +6
2093
3 - 0
 65 20 14 Newcastle United
1922
 -6
1916
1997-19981998/05/16 FA Cup n Arsenal FC
2063
 +9
2072
2 - 0
 52 26 22 Newcastle United
1911
 -9
1902
1997-19981998/04/11 Premier League Arsenal FC
2047
 +6
2053
3 - 1
 62 22 16 Newcastle United
1910
 -6
1904
1997-19981997/12/06 Premier League Newcastle United
1964
 -12
1952
0 - 1
 43 29 28 Arsenal FC
1992
 +12
2004
1996-19971997/05/03 Premier League Arsenal FC
2025
 -14
2011
0 - 1
 51 26 23 Newcastle United
1982
 +14
1996
1996-19971996/11/30 Premier League Newcastle United
2014
 -13
2001
1 - 2
 46 28 26 Arsenal FC
2015
 +13
2028
1995-19961996/03/23 Premier League Arsenal FC
1983
 +14
1997
2 - 0
 39 29 32 Newcastle United
2052
 -14
2038
1995-19961996/01/10 League Cup Arsenal FC
1945
 +12
1957
2 - 0
 32 29 38 Newcastle United
2075
 -12
2063
1995-19961996/01/02 Premier League Newcastle United
2069
 +7
2076
2 - 0
 59 23 18 Arsenal FC
1960
 -7
1953
1994-19951995/03/19 Premier League Newcastle United
2033
 +5
2038
1 - 0
 58 24 18 Arsenal FC
1931
 -5
1926
1994-19951994/09/18 Premier League Arsenal FC
2030
 -12
2018
2 - 3
 41 29 30 Newcastle United
2074
 +12
2086
1993-19941994/05/07 Premier League Newcastle United
2004
 +13
2017
2 - 0
 40 29 31 Arsenal FC
2058
 -13
2045
1993-19941993/11/27 Premier League Arsenal FC
2053
 +5
2058
2 - 1
 58 24 18 Newcastle United
1952
 -5
1947
1988-19891989/04/15 Premier League Arsenal FC
2084
 +3
2087
1 - 0
 72 18 11 Newcastle United
1856
 -3
1853
1988-19891988/11/12 Premier League Newcastle United
1888
 -8
1880
0 - 1
 27 28 45 Arsenal FC
2075
 +8
2083
1987-19881988/03/19 Premier League Arsenal FC
2045
 -5
2040
1 - 1
 60 23 17 Newcastle United
1932
 +5
1937
1987-19881987/10/31 Premier League Newcastle United
1914
 -9
1905
0 - 1
 32 29 39 Arsenal FC
2051
 +9
2060
1986-19871987/04/14 Premier League Arsenal FC
2008
 -15
1993
0 - 1
 59 23 18 Newcastle United
1897
 +15
1912
1986-19871986/10/18 Premier League Newcastle United
1863
 -9
1854
1 - 2
 33 29 38 Arsenal FC
1991
 +9
2000
1985-19861986/03/01 Premier League Newcastle United
1893
 +11
1904
1 - 0
 33 29 38 Arsenal FC
2015
 -11
2004
1985-19861985/09/28 Premier League Arsenal FC
1992
 -5
1987
0 - 0
 55 25 20 Newcastle United
1914
 +5
1919
1984-19851984/12/29 Premier League Newcastle United
1862
 -14
1848
1 - 3
 33 29 38 Arsenal FC
1986
 +14
2000
1984-19851984/09/04 Premier League Arsenal FC
1975
 +8
1983
2 - 0
 55 25 20 Newcastle United
1899
 -8
1891
1977-19781978/04/15 Premier League Arsenal FC
2032
 +3
2035
2 - 1
 71 18 11 Newcastle United
1813
 -3
1810
1977-19781977/11/19 Premier League Newcastle United
1833
 -8
1825
1 - 2
 30 29 41 Arsenal FC
1989
 +8
1997
1976-19771977/04/30 Premier League Newcastle United
2016
 -22
1994
0 - 2
 55 25 20 Arsenal FC
1945
 +22
1967
1976-19771976/12/04 Premier League Arsenal FC
1944
 +13
1957
5 - 3
 39 29 31 Newcastle United
2004
 -13
1991
1975-19761976/03/16 Premier League Arsenal FC
1929
 -2
1927
0 - 0
 44 28 28 Newcastle United
1947
 +2
1949
1975-19761975/11/01 Premier League Newcastle United
1919
 +11
1930
2 - 0
 45 28 27 Arsenal FC
1933
 -11
1922
1974-19751975/04/23 Premier League Newcastle United
1884
 +13
1897
3 - 1
 40 29 31 Arsenal FC
1936
 -13
1923
1974-19751975/03/18 Premier League Arsenal FC
1925
 +13
1938
3 - 0
 45 28 27 Newcastle United
1932
 -13
1919
1973-19741974/01/01 Premier League Arsenal FC
1975
 -12
1963
0 - 1
 45 28 27 Newcastle United
1987
 +12
1999
1973-19741973/09/01 Premier League Newcastle United
1977
 -1
1976
1 - 1
 40 29 31 Arsenal FC
2034
 +1
2035
1972-19731973/01/27 Premier League Arsenal FC
2062
 -5
2057
2 - 2
 55 25 20 Newcastle United
1991
 +5
1996
1972-19731972/09/09 Premier League Newcastle United
1943
 +11
1954
2 - 1
 33 29 38 Arsenal FC
2067
 -11
2056
1971-19721972/03/11 Premier League Newcastle United
1972
 +15
1987
2 - 0
 34 29 36 Arsenal FC
2082
 -15
2067
1971-19721971/10/09 Premier League Arsenal FC
2118
 +5
2123
4 - 2
 68 19 13 Newcastle United
1924
 -5
1919
1970-19711971/04/17 Premier League Arsenal FC
2114
 +4
2118
1 - 0
 64 21 15 Newcastle United
1961
 -4
1957
1970-19711970/10/10 Premier League Newcastle United
2013
 -3
2010
1 - 1
 46 28 26 Arsenal FC
2013
 +3
2016
1969-19701969/12/27 Premier League Arsenal FC
1985
 -3
1982
0 - 0
 45 28 27 Newcastle United
1996
 +3
1999
1969-19701969/08/30 Premier League Newcastle United
1989
 +13
2002
3 - 1
 41 29 30 Arsenal FC
2031
 -13
2018
1968-19691969/01/18 Premier League Newcastle United
1899
 +12
1911
2 - 1
 29 29 42 Arsenal FC
2063
 -12
2051
1968-19691968/11/09 Premier League Arsenal FC
2006
 -5
2001
0 - 0
 59 23 18 Newcastle United
1897
 +5
1902
1967-19681968/02/10 Premier League Arsenal FC
1985
 -4
1981
0 - 0
 54 25 21 Newcastle United
1920
 +4
1924
1967-19681967/09/30 Premier League Newcastle United
1840
 +12
1852
2 - 1
 28 28 44 Arsenal FC
2018
 -12
2006
1966-19671967/02/25 Premier League Newcastle United
1776
 +10
1786
2 - 1
 34 29 36 Arsenal FC
1887
 -10
1877
1966-19671966/10/08 Premier League Arsenal FC
1848
 +11
1859
2 - 0
 45 28 27 Newcastle United
1855
 -11
1844
1965-19661966/03/26 Premier League Arsenal FC
1891
 -21
1870
1 - 3
 52 26 22 Newcastle United
1839
 +21
1860
1965-19661965/10/02 Premier League Newcastle United
1857
 -11
1846
0 - 1
 39 29 32 Arsenal FC
1926
 +11
1937
1960-19611961/02/04 Premier League Newcastle United
1839
 -1
1838
3 - 3
 39 29 32 Arsenal FC
1907
 +1
1908
1960-19611960/09/17 Premier League Arsenal FC
1878
 +17
1895
5 - 0
 41 29 30 Newcastle United
1920
 -17
1903
1959-19601960/02/27 Premier League Arsenal FC
1883
 +8
1891
1 - 0
 41 29 30 Newcastle United
1930
 -8
1922
1959-19601959/12/05 Premier League Newcastle United
1888
 +14
1902
4 - 1
 43 29 28 Arsenal FC
1916
 -14
1902
1958-19591959/03/21 Premier League Newcastle United
1868
 +10
1878
1 - 0
 36 29 35 Arsenal FC
1963
 -10
1953
1958-19591958/11/01 Premier League Arsenal FC
1939
 +6
1945
3 - 2
 50 26 23 Newcastle United
1903
 -6
1897
1957-19581958/04/12 Premier League Newcastle United
1828
 -1
1827
3 - 3
 39 29 31 Arsenal FC
1889
 +1
1890
1957-19581957/11/30 Premier League Arsenal FC
1941
 -15
1926
2 - 3
 58 24 18 Newcastle United
1841
 +15
1856
1956-19571957/01/19 Premier League Newcastle United
1862
 +16
1878
3 - 1
 33 29 37 Arsenal FC
1982
 -16
1966
1956-19571956/09/15 Premier League Arsenal FC
1912
 -13
1899
0 - 1
 49 27 24 Newcastle United
1888
 +13
1901
1955-19561956/02/25 Premier League Newcastle United
1953
 +8
1961
2 - 0
 54 25 21 Arsenal FC
1888
 -8
1880
1955-19561955/10/15 Premier League Arsenal FC
1859
 +8
1867
1 - 0
 44 28 28 Newcastle United
1880
 -8
1872

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