-
#130 | Elo: 1844
#1 | Elo: 2404
Probabilities (Home/Draw/Away): 6% | 13% | 82%
Points exchanged: /

Goal difference estimate based on historical outcomes

  • Between FC St. Pauli and Bayern München there is a total rating difference of -460 (= 1844 + 100 (homebonus) - 2404).
  • This prediction is based on 41 historical games with the same rating constellation.
  • Note: The smaller the sample size, the more likely the distribution of historical outcomes will deviate from the theoretical probabilities quoted above.


Head-to-Head statistics for FC St. Pauli versus Bayern München before 2026/04/11

Competition Category FC St. Pauli
⌀ Rating
Bayern München
⌀ Rating
Total:
P

W

D

L

GF

GA
⌀ Elo +/- ∑ Elo +/-
Total
1797
2087
2324171452 -2-44
Bundesliga domestic league (tier 1)
1819
2117
1924131237 0+2
Bundesliga rel. domestic relegation
1789
1756
2002110 -21-42
DFB-Pokal domestic cup
1596
2138
200215 -2-4



Historical and season performance for FC St. Pauli and Bayern München



FC St. Pauli versus Bayern München: all previous games

Season Date Competition Home Result Probabilities:
H

D

A
Away
2025-20262025/11/29 Bundesliga Bayern München
2331
+1
2332
88 10 2 FC St. Pauli
1803
-1
1802
2024-20252025/03/29 Bundesliga Bayern München
2266
+1
2267
84 12 5 FC St. Pauli
1859
-1
1858
2024-20252024/11/09 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1864
-4
1860
15 20 65 Bayern München
2223
+4
2227
2010-20112011/05/07 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1749
-7
1742
13 19 68 Bayern München
2136
+7
2143
2010-20112010/12/11 Bundesliga Bayern München
2138
+2
2140
81 13 6 FC St. Pauli
1779
-2
1777
2006-20072006/09/09 DFB-Pokal FC St. Pauli
1562
-1
1561
6 12 82 Bayern München
2127
+1
2128
2005-20062006/04/12 DFB-Pokal FC St. Pauli
1631
-3
1628
7 14 79 Bayern München
2148
+3
2151
2001-20022002/02/06 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1732
+17
1749
13 19 69 Bayern München
2127
-17
2110
2001-20022001/08/18 Bundesliga Bayern München
2134
+2
2136
81 13 6 FC St. Pauli
1775
-2
1773
1996-19971997/02/15 Bundesliga Bayern München
2097
+4
2101
72 17 10 FC St. Pauli
1859
-4
1855
1996-19971996/08/16 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1846
-6
1840
24 26 50 Bayern München
2077
+6
2083
1995-19961996/04/10 Bundesliga Bayern München
2085
-7
2078
71 18 11 FC St. Pauli
1860
+7
1867
1995-19961995/10/21 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1834
-7
1827
25 27 48 Bayern München
2052
+7
2059
1990-19911991/03/02 Bundesliga Bayern München
2142
-18
2124
78 15 7 FC St. Pauli
1833
+18
1851
1990-19911990/08/14 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1879
+4
1883
22 25 53 Bayern München
2135
-4
2131
1989-19901990/05/02 Bundesliga Bayern München
2124
+2
2126
74 17 10 FC St. Pauli
1869
-2
1867
1989-19901989/10/27 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1839
-8
1831
21 25 54 Bayern München
2102
+8
2110
1988-19891989/05/20 Bundesliga Bayern München
2074
+3
2077
71 18 11 FC St. Pauli
1847
-3
1844
1988-19891988/11/05 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1828
+6
1834
17 22 60 Bayern München
2146
-6
2140
1977-19781977/12/17 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1748
+1
1749
33 29 37 Bayern München
1866
-1
1865
1977-19781977/08/13 Bundesliga Bayern München
1961
+4
1965
69 19 12 FC St. Pauli
1757
-4
1753
1963-19641964/06/28 Bundesliga rel. Bayern München
1768
+15
1783
45 28 27 FC St. Pauli
1781
-15
1766
1963-19641964/06/06 Bundesliga rel. FC St. Pauli
1797
-27
1770
52 26 22 Bayern München
1744
+27
1771

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