FC St. Pauli
-
Bayern München
#130 | Elo: 1844
Bundesliga, 2026/04/11
#1 | Elo: 2404
→
Probabilities (Home/Draw/Away): 6% | 13% | 82%
→
Points exchanged: /

Goal difference estimate based on historical outcomes

  • Between FC St. Pauli and Bayern München there is a total rating difference of -460 (= 1844 + 100 (homebonus) - 2404).
  • This prediction is based on 41 historical games with the same rating constellation.
  • Note: The smaller the sample size, the more likely the distribution of historical outcomes will deviate from the theoretical probabilities quoted above.


Head-to-Head statistics for FC St. Pauli versus Bayern München before 2026/04/11

Competition Category FC St. Pauli
⌀ Rating		 Bayern München
⌀ Rating		 Total:
P
W
D
L
GF
GA		 ⌀ Elo +/- ∑ Elo +/-
Total
1797
2087
 2324171452 -2-44
Bundesliga domestic league (tier 1)
1819
2117
 1924131237 0+2
Bundesliga rel. domestic relegation
1789
1756
 2002110 -21-42
DFB-Pokal domestic cup
1596
2138
 200215 -2-4



Historical and season performance for FC St. Pauli and Bayern München



FC St. Pauli versus Bayern München: all previous games

Season Date Competition Home → Result Probabilities:
H
D
A		 Away →
2025-20262025/11/29 Bundesliga Bayern München
2331
 +1
2332
3 - 1
 88 10 2 FC St. Pauli
1803
 -1
1802
2024-20252025/03/29 Bundesliga Bayern München
2266
 +1
2267
3 - 2
 84 12 5 FC St. Pauli
1859
 -1
1858
2024-20252024/11/09 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1864
 -4
1860
0 - 1
 15 20 65 Bayern München
2223
 +4
2227
2010-20112011/05/07 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1749
 -7
1742
1 - 8
 13 19 68 Bayern München
2136
 +7
2143
2010-20112010/12/11 Bundesliga Bayern München
2138
 +2
2140
3 - 0
 81 13 6 FC St. Pauli
1779
 -2
1777
2006-20072006/09/09 DFB-Pokal FC St. Pauli
1562
 -1
1561
1 - 2
 6 12 82 Bayern München
2127
 +1
2128
2005-20062006/04/12 DFB-Pokal FC St. Pauli
1631
 -3
1628
0 - 3
 7 14 79 Bayern München
2148
 +3
2151
2001-20022002/02/06 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1732
 +17
1749
2 - 1
 13 19 69 Bayern München
2127
 -17
2110
2001-20022001/08/18 Bundesliga Bayern München
2134
 +2
2136
2 - 0
 81 13 6 FC St. Pauli
1775
 -2
1773
1996-19971997/02/15 Bundesliga Bayern München
2097
 +4
2101
3 - 0
 72 17 10 FC St. Pauli
1859
 -4
1855
1996-19971996/08/16 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1846
 -6
1840
1 - 2
 24 26 50 Bayern München
2077
 +6
2083
1995-19961996/04/10 Bundesliga Bayern München
2085
 -7
2078
1 - 1
 71 18 11 FC St. Pauli
1860
 +7
1867
1995-19961995/10/21 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1834
 -7
1827
0 - 1
 25 27 48 Bayern München
2052
 +7
2059
1990-19911991/03/02 Bundesliga Bayern München
2142
 -18
2124
0 - 1
 78 15 7 FC St. Pauli
1833
 +18
1851
1990-19911990/08/14 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1879
 +4
1883
0 - 0
 22 25 53 Bayern München
2135
 -4
2131
1989-19901990/05/02 Bundesliga Bayern München
2124
 +2
2126
1 - 0
 74 17 10 FC St. Pauli
1869
 -2
1867
1989-19901989/10/27 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1839
 -8
1831
0 - 2
 21 25 54 Bayern München
2102
 +8
2110
1988-19891989/05/20 Bundesliga Bayern München
2074
 +3
2077
2 - 1
 71 18 11 FC St. Pauli
1847
 -3
1844
1988-19891988/11/05 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1828
 +6
1834
0 - 0
 17 22 60 Bayern München
2146
 -6
2140
1977-19781977/12/17 Bundesliga FC St. Pauli
1748
 +1
1749
0 - 0
 33 29 37 Bayern München
1866
 -1
1865
1977-19781977/08/13 Bundesliga Bayern München
1961
 +4
1965
4 - 2
 69 19 12 FC St. Pauli
1757
 -4
1753
1963-19641964/06/28 Bundesliga rel. Bayern München
1768
 +15
1783
6 - 1
 45 28 27 FC St. Pauli
1781
 -15
1766
1963-19641964/06/06 Bundesliga rel. FC St. Pauli
1797
 -27
1770
0 - 4
 52 26 22 Bayern München
1744
 +27
1771

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