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#276 | Elo: 1707
#331 | Elo: 1674
Probabilities (Home/Draw/Away): 50% | 27% | 23%
Points exchanged: /

Goal difference estimate based on historical outcomes

  • Between Luton Town and Derby County there is a total rating difference of 133 (= 1707 + 100 (homebonus) - 1674).
  • This prediction is based on 2918 historical games with the same rating constellation.
  • Note: The smaller the sample size, the more likely the distribution of historical outcomes will deviate from the theoretical probabilities quoted above.


Head-to-Head statistics for Luton Town versus Derby County before 2024/12/20

Competition Category Luton Town
⌀ Rating
Derby County
⌀ Rating
Total:
P

W

D

L

GF

GA
⌀ Elo +/- ∑ Elo +/-
Total
1752
1776
411510164758 -1-25
Championship domestic league (tier 2)
1714
1725
2879123041 -3-71
Premier League domestic league (tier 1)
1892
1903
107031310 +5+49
League Cup domestic cup
1614
1859
211032 +8+17
FA Cup domestic cup
1713
1784
100115 -20-20



Historical and season performance for Luton Town and Derby County



Luton Town versus Derby County: all previous games

Season Date Competition Home Result Probabilities:
H

D

A
Away
2021-20222022/02/26 Championship Luton Town
1761
+5
1766
59 23 18 Derby County
1653
-5
1648
2021-20222021/10/19 Championship Derby County
1630
-1
1629
37 29 33 Luton Town
1709
+1
1710
2020-20212021/04/02 Championship Derby County
1652
+12
1664
42 29 30 Luton Town
1692
-12
1680
2020-20212020/09/19 Championship Luton Town
1703
+8
1711
44 28 27 Derby County
1720
-8
1712
2019-20202020/01/28 Championship Luton Town
1600
+11
1611
31 29 40 Derby County
1746
-11
1735
2019-20202019/10/05 Championship Derby County
1776
+8
1784
56 24 20 Luton Town
1694
-8
1686
2006-20072007/04/20 Championship Derby County
1757
+3
1760
68 19 12 Luton Town
1561
-3
1558
2006-20072006/11/18 Championship Luton Town
1674
-18
1656
42 29 29 Derby County
1713
+18
1731
2005-20062006/03/18 Championship Luton Town
1670
+8
1678
43 29 28 Derby County
1698
-8
1690
2005-20062005/12/26 Championship Derby County
1709
-3
1706
48 27 25 Luton Town
1695
+3
1698
1996-19971996/09/25 League Cup Derby County
1855
-6
1849
72 17 10 Luton Town
1619
+6
1625
1996-19971996/09/17 League Cup Luton Town
1608
+11
1619
22 25 53 Derby County
1863
-11
1852
1995-19961996/02/21 Championship Derby County
1855
-6
1849
65 21 15 Luton Town
1696
+6
1702
1995-19961995/09/02 Championship Luton Town
1702
-11
1691
41 29 30 Derby County
1752
+11
1763
1994-19951994/12/11 Championship Luton Town
1745
-2
1743
41 29 30 Derby County
1788
+2
1790
1994-19951994/08/20 Championship Derby County
1778
-4
1774
54 25 21 Luton Town
1715
+4
1719
1993-19941994/01/22 Championship Luton Town
1718
+9
1727
39 29 31 Derby County
1779
-9
1770
1993-19941993/10/09 Championship Derby County
1775
+5
1780
56 24 20 Luton Town
1693
-5
1688
1992-19931993/04/24 Championship Derby County
1788
-4
1784
52 26 22 Luton Town
1735
+4
1739
1992-19931993/01/23 FA Cup Luton Town
1713
-20
1693
38 29 32 Derby County
1784
+20
1804
1992-19931992/10/17 Championship Luton Town
1751
-18
1733
44 28 28 Derby County
1770
+18
1788
1990-19911991/05/11 Premier League Luton Town
1834
+9
1843
53 26 22 Derby County
1780
-9
1771
1990-19911990/11/03 Premier League Derby County
1862
+8
1870
43 29 29 Luton Town
1891
-8
1883
1989-19901990/05/05 Premier League Derby County
1905
-14
1891
50 27 23 Luton Town
1871
+14
1885
1989-19901989/11/04 Premier League Luton Town
1920
+8
1928
44 28 27 Derby County
1935
-8
1927
1988-19891989/04/29 Premier League Luton Town
1900
+15
1915
40 29 31 Derby County
1956
-15
1941
1988-19891988/12/10 Premier League Derby County
1921
-11
1910
40 29 31 Luton Town
1972
+11
1983
1987-19881988/01/16 Premier League Luton Town
1993
+4
1997
65 21 14 Derby County
1831
-4
1827
1987-19881987/08/15 Premier League Derby County
1832
+12
1844
30 29 42 Luton Town
1990
-12
1978
1981-19821982/03/27 Championship Derby County
1685
+2
1687
28 28 44 Luton Town
1865
-2
1863
1981-19821981/11/07 Championship Luton Town
1863
+4
1867
61 23 17 Derby County
1741
-4
1737
1980-19811981/01/31 Championship Derby County
1805
-4
1801
50 27 24 Luton Town
1775
+4
1779
1980-19811980/08/23 Championship Luton Town
1769
-11
1758
39 29 32 Derby County
1832
+11
1843
1974-19751975/03/29 Premier League Derby County
2014
+6
2020
69 19 12 Luton Town
1817
-6
1811
1974-19751974/12/21 Premier League Luton Town
1730
+14
1744
21 25 54 Derby County
1991
-14
1977
1962-19631963/03/23 Championship Derby County
1632
+7
1639
47 28 25 Luton Town
1625
-7
1618
1962-19631962/11/03 Championship Luton Town
1651
-14
1637
52 26 22 Derby County
1599
+14
1613
1961-19621961/08/30 Championship Luton Town
1743
+9
1752
53 26 21 Derby County
1686
-9
1677
1961-19621961/08/23 Championship Derby County
1693
+13
1706
41 29 30 Luton Town
1736
-13
1723
1960-19611961/03/04 Championship Luton Town
1706
-4
1702
52 26 22 Derby County
1655
+4
1659
1960-19611960/10/15 Championship Derby County
1625
+19
1644
33 29 38 Luton Town
1747
-19
1728

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