-
#3 | Elo: 2295
#23 | Elo: 2105
Probabilities (Home/Draw/Away): 68% | 19% | 13%
Points exchanged: /

Goal difference estimate based on historical outcomes

  • Between Arsenal FC and Manchester United there is a total rating difference of 290 (= 2295 + 100 (homebonus) - 2105).
  • This prediction is based on 1156 historical games with the same rating constellation.
  • Note: The smaller the sample size, the more likely the distribution of historical outcomes will deviate from the theoretical probabilities quoted above.


Head-to-Head statistics for Arsenal FC versus Manchester United before 2025/01/11

Competition Category Arsenal FC
⌀ Rating
Manchester United
⌀ Rating
Total:
P

W

D

L

GF

GA
⌀ Elo +/- ∑ Elo +/-
Total
2056
2084
161564164222236 0+28
Premier League domestic league (tier 1)
2047
2075
137483752190197 0+57
FA Cup domestic cup
2116
2133
124261218 -1-16
Community Shield domestic supercup
2114
2150
5320104 +10+48
League Cup domestic cup
2050
2084
5104913 -6-30
Champions League international
2146
2234
200214 -16-31



Historical and season performance for Arsenal FC and Manchester United



Arsenal FC versus Manchester United: all previous games

Season Date Competition Home Result Probabilities:
H

D

A
Away
2024-20252024/12/04 Premier League Arsenal FC
2296
+5
2301
69 19 12 Manchester United
2097
-5
2092
2023-20242024/05/12 Premier League Manchester United
2067
-8
2059
28 28 44 Arsenal FC
2249
+8
2257
2023-20242023/09/03 Premier League Arsenal FC
2189
+9
2198
50 27 23 Manchester United
2155
-9
2146
2022-20232023/01/22 Premier League Arsenal FC
2218
+6
2224
54 25 21 Manchester United
2156
-6
2150
2022-20232022/09/04 Premier League Manchester United
2078
+14
2092
37 29 34 Arsenal FC
2161
-14
2147
2021-20222022/04/23 Premier League Arsenal FC
2130
+10
2140
49 27 24 Manchester United
2110
-10
2100
2021-20222021/12/02 Premier League Manchester United
2155
+7
2162
47 28 25 Arsenal FC
2148
-7
2141
2020-20212021/01/30 Premier League Arsenal FC
2117
-1
2116
40 29 31 Manchester United
2168
+1
2169
2020-20212020/11/01 Premier League Manchester United
2181
-14
2167
51 26 23 Arsenal FC
2142
+14
2156
2019-20202020/01/01 Premier League Arsenal FC
2045
+13
2058
41 29 30 Manchester United
2091
-13
2078
2019-20202019/09/30 Premier League Manchester United
2076
-1
2075
39 29 31 Arsenal FC
2137
+1
2138
2018-20192019/03/10 Premier League Arsenal FC
2084
+17
2101
31 29 40 Manchester United
2230
-17
2213
2018-20192019/01/25 FA Cup Arsenal FC
2122
-17
2105
41 29 30 Manchester United
2170
+17
2187
2018-20192018/12/05 Premier League Manchester United
2153
-3
2150
47 28 26 Arsenal FC
2148
+3
2151
2017-20182018/04/29 Premier League Manchester United
2200
+5
2205
58 24 18 Arsenal FC
2102
-5
2097
2017-20182017/12/02 Premier League Arsenal FC
2155
-17
2138
40 29 31 Manchester United
2207
+17
2224
2016-20172017/05/07 Premier League Arsenal FC
2101
+14
2115
38 29 33 Manchester United
2173
-14
2159
2016-20172016/11/19 Premier League Manchester United
2075
0
2075
34 29 36 Arsenal FC
2183
0
2183
2015-20162016/02/28 Premier League Manchester United
2053
+9
2062
37 29 33 Arsenal FC
2132
-9
2123
2015-20162015/10/04 Premier League Arsenal FC
2138
+12
2150
49 27 24 Manchester United
2118
-12
2106
2014-20152015/05/17 Premier League Manchester United
2087
0
2087
35 29 35 Arsenal FC
2187
0
2187
2014-20152015/03/09 FA Cup Manchester United
2092
-11
2081
40 29 31 Arsenal FC
2146
+11
2157
2014-20152014/11/22 Premier League Arsenal FC
2127
-15
2112
55 25 20 Manchester United
2052
+15
2067
2013-20142014/02/12 Premier League Arsenal FC
2163
-4
2159
50 27 23 Manchester United
2129
+4
2133
2013-20142013/11/10 Premier League Manchester United
2167
+8
2175
45 28 27 Arsenal FC
2181
-8
2173
2012-20132013/04/28 Premier League Arsenal FC
2117
-1
2116
39 29 32 Manchester United
2181
+1
2182
2012-20132012/11/03 Premier League Manchester United
2198
+5
2203
58 23 18 Arsenal FC
2095
-5
2090
2011-20122012/01/22 Premier League Arsenal FC
2074
-10
2064
35 29 36 Manchester United
2180
+10
2190
2011-20122011/08/28 Premier League Manchester United
2246
+7
2253
66 20 14 Arsenal FC
2078
-7
2071
2010-20112011/05/01 Premier League Arsenal FC
2102
+11
2113
30 29 41 Manchester United
2252
-11
2241
2010-20112011/03/12 FA Cup Manchester United
2201
+8
2209
55 25 20 Arsenal FC
2129
-8
2121
2010-20112010/12/13 Premier League Manchester United
2220
+5
2225
56 24 19 Arsenal FC
2136
-5
2131
2009-20102010/01/31 Premier League Arsenal FC
2140
-17
2123
41 29 30 Manchester United
2183
+17
2200
2009-20102009/08/29 Premier League Manchester United
2232
+5
2237
54 25 21 Arsenal FC
2163
-5
2158
2008-20092009/05/16 Premier League Manchester United
2269
-6
2263
65 21 14 Arsenal FC
2107
+6
2113
2008-20092009/05/05 Champions League Arsenal FC
2147
-23
2124
36 29 35 Manchester United
2241
+23
2264
2008-20092009/04/29 Champions League Manchester United
2228
+8
2236
56 24 20 Arsenal FC
2145
-8
2137
2008-20092008/11/08 Premier League Arsenal FC
2160
+9
2169
37 29 33 Manchester United
2239
-9
2230
2007-20082008/04/13 Premier League Manchester United
2273
+4
2277
60 23 17 Arsenal FC
2154
-4
2150
2007-20082008/02/16 FA Cup Manchester United
2231
+12
2243
50 27 24 Arsenal FC
2201
-12
2189
2007-20082007/11/03 Premier League Arsenal FC
2204
-3
2201
45 28 27 Manchester United
2215
+3
2218
2006-20072007/01/21 Premier League Arsenal FC
2182
+7
2189
46 28 26 Manchester United
2187
-7
2180
2006-20072006/09/17 Premier League Manchester United
2179
-14
2165
51 26 23 Arsenal FC
2136
+14
2150
2005-20062006/04/09 Premier League Manchester United
2159
+10
2169
47 27 25 Arsenal FC
2149
-10
2139
2005-20062006/01/03 Premier League Arsenal FC
2136
-3
2133
46 28 26 Manchester United
2135
+3
2138
2004-20052005/05/21 FA Cup n Arsenal FC
2187
-1
2186
41 29 30 Manchester United
2135
+1
2136
2004-20052005/02/01 Premier League Arsenal FC
2184
-20
2164
50 27 24 Manchester United
2155
+20
2175
2004-20052004/12/01 League Cup Manchester United
2160
+6
2166
44 28 28 Arsenal FC
2178
-6
2172
2004-20052004/10/24 Premier League Manchester United
2125
+15
2140
35 29 36 Arsenal FC
2228
-15
2213
2004-20052004/08/08 Community Shield n Arsenal FC
2195
+13
2208
41 29 30 Manchester United
2144
-13
2131
2003-20042004/04/03 FA Cup n Arsenal FC
2234
-12
2222
44 28 28 Manchester United
2154
+12
2166
2003-20042004/03/28 Premier League Arsenal FC
2239
-5
2234
57 24 19 Manchester United
2149
+5
2154
2003-20042003/09/21 Premier League Manchester United
2214
-5
2209
55 25 20 Arsenal FC
2138
+5
2143
2003-20042003/08/10 Community Shield n Manchester United
2201
-1
2200
39 29 32 Arsenal FC
2163
+1
2164
2002-20032003/04/16 Premier League Arsenal FC
2163
-3
2160
46 28 26 Manchester United
2167
+3
2170
2002-20032003/02/15 FA Cup Manchester United
2185
-20
2165
48 27 25 Arsenal FC
2174
+20
2194
2002-20032002/12/07 Premier League Manchester United
2164
+11
2175
45 28 27 Arsenal FC
2177
-11
2166
2001-20022002/05/08 Premier League Manchester United
2194
-13
2181
49 27 24 Arsenal FC
2168
+13
2181
2001-20022001/11/25 Premier League Arsenal FC
2044
+13
2057
41 29 30 Manchester United
2093
-13
2080
2001-20022001/11/05 League Cup Arsenal FC
2047
+12
2059
41 29 30 Manchester United
2094
-12
2082
2000-20012001/02/25 Premier League Manchester United
2182
+10
2192
57 24 19 Arsenal FC
2088
-10
2078
2000-20012000/10/01 Premier League Arsenal FC
2149
+7
2156
46 28 26 Manchester United
2151
-7
2144
1999-20002000/01/24 Premier League Manchester United
2147
-4
2143
53 26 21 Arsenal FC
2089
+4
2093
1999-20001999/08/22 Premier League Arsenal FC
2146
-12
2134
42 29 30 Manchester United
2187
+12
2199
1999-20001999/08/01 Community Shield n Arsenal FC
2127
+12
2139
29 29 43 Manchester United
2195
-12
2183
1998-19991999/04/14 FA Cup n Arsenal FC
2110
-9
2101
32 29 39 Manchester United
2147
+9
2156
1998-19991999/04/11 FA Cup n Manchester United
2148
-1
2147
39 29 31 Arsenal FC
2109
+1
2110
1998-19991999/02/17 Premier League Manchester United
2125
-4
2121
52 26 22 Arsenal FC
2079
+4
2083
1998-19991998/09/20 Premier League Arsenal FC
2083
+12
2095
47 27 25 Manchester United
2073
-12
2061
1998-19991998/08/09 Community Shield n Arsenal FC
2072
+19
2091
33 29 38 Manchester United
2100
-19
2081
1997-19981998/03/14 Premier League Manchester United
2092
-15
2077
55 25 20 Arsenal FC
2018
+15
2033
1997-19981997/11/09 Premier League Arsenal FC
2011
+10
2021
34 29 37 Manchester United
2125
-10
2115
1996-19971997/02/19 Premier League Arsenal FC
2007
-10
1997
36 29 34 Manchester United
2096
+10
2106
1996-19971996/11/16 Premier League Manchester United
2082
+6
2088
54 25 21 Arsenal FC
2018
-6
2012
1995-19961996/03/20 Premier League Manchester United
2120
+4
2124
62 22 16 Arsenal FC
1987
-4
1983
1995-19961995/11/04 Premier League Arsenal FC
1978
+11
1989
31 29 40 Manchester United
2121
-11
2110
1994-19951995/03/22 Premier League Manchester United
2127
+5
2132
69 19 12 Arsenal FC
1926
-5
1921
1994-19951994/11/26 Premier League Arsenal FC
2005
0
2005
34 29 36 Manchester United
2114
0
2114
1993-19941994/03/22 Premier League Arsenal FC
2059
+1
2060
33 29 38 Manchester United
2185
-1
2184
1993-19941993/09/19 Premier League Manchester United
2134
+5
2139
57 24 19 Arsenal FC
2040
-5
2035
1993-19941993/08/07 Community Shield n Manchester United
2112
-3
2109
46 28 26 Arsenal FC
2013
+3
2016
1992-19931993/03/24 Premier League Manchester United
2056
-3
2053
48 27 25 Arsenal FC
2040
+3
2043
1992-19931992/11/28 Premier League Arsenal FC
2058
-14
2044
51 26 23 Manchester United
2015
+14
2029
1991-19921992/02/01 Premier League Arsenal FC
1997
+1
1998
33 29 37 Manchester United
2117
-1
2116
1991-19921991/10/19 Premier League Manchester United
2085
-2
2083
44 28 28 Arsenal FC
2104
+2
2106
1990-19911991/05/06 Premier League Arsenal FC
2121
+8
2129
54 25 21 Manchester United
2058
-8
2050
1990-19911990/11/28 League Cup Arsenal FC
2118
-22
2096
60 23 17 Manchester United
2002
+22
2024
1990-19911990/10/20 Premier League Manchester United
1997
-11
1986
38 29 33 Arsenal FC
2070
+11
2081
1989-19901989/12/03 Premier League Arsenal FC
2076
+5
2081
58 24 18 Manchester United
1976
-5
1971
1989-19901989/08/19 Premier League Manchester United
1989
+18
2007
35 29 36 Arsenal FC
2095
-18
2077
1988-19891989/04/02 Premier League Manchester United
2062
-3
2059
45 28 27 Arsenal FC
2073
+3
2076
1988-19891988/12/17 Premier League Arsenal FC
2070
+7
2077
48 27 25 Manchester United
2054
-7
2047
1987-19881988/02/20 FA Cup Arsenal FC
2030
+8
2038
43 29 29 Manchester United
2060
-8
2052
1987-19881988/01/24 Premier League Arsenal FC
2020
-13
2007
46 28 26 Manchester United
2022
+13
2035
1987-19881987/08/19 Premier League Manchester United
1984
-3
1981
46 28 26 Arsenal FC
1987
+3
1990
1986-19871987/01/24 Premier League Manchester United
1977
+16
1993
33 29 37 Arsenal FC
2097
-16
2081
1986-19871986/08/23 Premier League Arsenal FC
1965
+9
1974
39 29 32 Manchester United
2027
-9
2018
1985-19861985/12/21 Premier League Manchester United
2106
-15
2091
59 23 18 Arsenal FC
1999
+15
2014
1985-19861985/08/24 Premier League Arsenal FC
1970
-10
1960
35 29 36 Manchester United
2077
+10
2087
1984-19851985/02/23 Premier League Arsenal FC
1969
-11
1958
39 29 32 Manchester United
2038
+11
2049
1984-19851984/11/02 Premier League Manchester United
2008
+11
2019
46 28 26 Arsenal FC
2008
-11
1997
1983-19841984/03/17 Premier League Manchester United
2050
+8
2058
60 23 17 Arsenal FC
1932
-8
1924
1983-19841983/09/06 Premier League Arsenal FC
1962
-10
1952
36 29 34 Manchester United
2052
+10
2062
1982-19831983/05/02 Premier League Arsenal FC
1939
+20
1959
31 29 40 Manchester United
2079
-20
2059
1982-19831983/04/16 FA Cup n Manchester United
2083
+7
2090
49 27 24 Arsenal FC
1957
-7
1950
1982-19831983/02/23 League Cup Manchester United
2090
+3
2093
63 22 16 Arsenal FC
1947
-3
1944
1982-19831983/02/15 League Cup Arsenal FC
1961
-11
1950
34 29 37 Manchester United
2076
+11
2087
1982-19831982/09/25 Premier League Manchester United
2085
-5
2080
57 24 19 Arsenal FC
1995
+5
2000
1981-19821982/02/20 Premier League Manchester United
2042
-3
2039
48 27 25 Arsenal FC
2031
+3
2034
1981-19821981/09/26 Premier League Arsenal FC
2045
-3
2042
49 27 24 Manchester United
2020
+3
2023
1980-19811980/12/20 Premier League Arsenal FC
2016
+8
2024
45 28 27 Manchester United
2028
-8
2020
1980-19811980/10/11 Premier League Manchester United
2034
-3
2031
47 28 26 Arsenal FC
2030
+3
2033
1979-19801979/12/29 Premier League Manchester United
2033
+12
2045
48 27 24 Arsenal FC
2014
-12
2002
1979-19801979/08/25 Premier League Arsenal FC
1996
-3
1993
47 28 26 Manchester United
1991
+3
1994
1978-19791979/05/12 FA Cup n Arsenal FC
1999
+10
2009
36 29 35 Manchester United
1992
-10
1982
1978-19791979/02/03 Premier League Manchester United
1940
-14
1926
32 29 38 Arsenal FC
2069
+14
2083
1978-19791978/09/23 Premier League Arsenal FC
2025
-4
2021
51 26 22 Manchester United
1981
+4
1985
1977-19781978/04/01 Premier League Arsenal FC
2032
+8
2040
55 25 20 Manchester United
1955
-8
1947
1977-19781977/11/05 Premier League Manchester United
2005
-13
1992
49 27 24 Arsenal FC
1980
+13
1993
1976-19771977/05/14 Premier League Manchester United
2011
+6
2017
52 26 22 Arsenal FC
1959
-6
1953
1976-19771976/12/18 Premier League Arsenal FC
1959
+11
1970
45 28 27 Manchester United
1967
-11
1956
1975-19761975/11/22 Premier League Arsenal FC
1899
+14
1913
37 29 34 Manchester United
1987
-14
1973
1975-19761975/10/18 Premier League Manchester United
1993
+9
2002
53 25 21 Arsenal FC
1932
-9
1923
1973-19741974/01/19 Premier League Manchester United
1872
0
1872
36 29 35 Arsenal FC
1969
0
1969
1973-19741973/08/25 Premier League Arsenal FC
2038
+8
2046
60 23 17 Manchester United
1925
-8
1917
1972-19731973/01/06 Premier League Arsenal FC
2046
+6
2052
65 21 15 Manchester United
1888
-6
1882
1972-19731972/08/26 Premier League Manchester United
1906
+2
1908
29 29 42 Arsenal FC
2069
-2
2067
1971-19721972/04/25 Premier League Arsenal FC
2064
+7
2071
61 22 16 Manchester United
1935
-7
1928
1971-19721971/08/20 Premier League Manchester United
1979
+18
1997
29 29 43 Arsenal FC
2146
-18
2128
1970-19711970/12/19 Premier League Manchester United
1938
-14
1924
33 29 38 Arsenal FC
2060
+14
2074
1970-19711970/08/22 Premier League Arsenal FC
1983
+13
1996
47 28 26 Manchester United
1978
-13
1965
1969-19701970/01/10 Premier League Manchester United
1990
+7
1997
47 28 25 Arsenal FC
1982
-7
1975
1969-19701969/09/20 Premier League Arsenal FC
2007
-4
2003
50 27 23 Manchester United
1975
+4
1979
1968-19691968/12/26 Premier League Arsenal FC
2047
+10
2057
54 25 21 Manchester United
1984
-10
1974
1968-19691968/10/05 Premier League Manchester United
2043
-4
2039
52 26 22 Arsenal FC
1996
+4
2000
1967-19681968/02/24 Premier League Arsenal FC
1981
-13
1968
32 29 39 Manchester United
2119
+13
2132
1967-19681967/10/07 Premier League Manchester United
2096
+5
2101
57 24 19 Arsenal FC
2006
-5
2001
1966-19671967/03/03 Premier League Arsenal FC
1877
+3
1880
26 28 46 Manchester United
2075
-3
2072
1966-19671966/10/29 Premier League Manchester United
2037
+3
2040
68 19 13 Arsenal FC
1844
-3
1841
1965-19661966/03/19 Premier League Manchester United
2121
+3
2124
71 18 11 Arsenal FC
1894
-3
1891
1965-19661965/09/25 Premier League Arsenal FC
1915
+17
1932
32 29 39 Manchester United
2053
-17
2036
1964-19651965/04/26 Premier League Manchester United
2116
+4
2120
70 18 12 Arsenal FC
1906
-4
1902
1964-19651964/11/28 Premier League Arsenal FC
1900
-7
1893
26 27 47 Manchester United
2106
+7
2113
1963-19641964/02/01 Premier League Manchester United
1975
+10
1985
49 27 24 Arsenal FC
1949
-10
1939
1963-19641963/09/21 Premier League Arsenal FC
1942
+7
1949
45 28 27 Manchester United
1949
-7
1942
1962-19631963/05/06 Premier League Manchester United
1883
-12
1871
42 29 30 Arsenal FC
1923
+12
1935
1962-19631962/08/25 Premier League Arsenal FC
1916
-20
1896
48 27 25 Manchester United
1901
+20
1921
1961-19621962/04/16 Premier League Manchester United
1937
-14
1923
51 26 23 Arsenal FC
1894
+14
1908
1961-19621961/10/21 Premier League Arsenal FC
1878
+18
1896
37 29 34 Manchester United
1961
-18
1943
1960-19611961/03/18 Premier League Manchester United
1953
-4
1949
54 25 21 Arsenal FC
1888
+4
1892
1960-19611960/10/29 Premier League Arsenal FC
1911
+7
1918
46 28 26 Manchester United
1916
-7
1909
1959-19601960/04/23 Premier League Arsenal FC
1863
+19
1882
33 29 38 Manchester United
1988
-19
1969
1959-19601959/10/10 Premier League Manchester United
1970
+11
1981
46 28 26 Arsenal FC
1968
-11
1957
1958-19591959/02/28 Premier League Arsenal FC
1971
+8
1979
43 29 28 Manchester United
1998
-8
1990
1958-19591958/10/11 Premier League Manchester United
1917
-2
1915
43 28 28 Arsenal FC
1941
+2
1943
1957-19581958/02/01 Premier League Arsenal FC
1907
-9
1898
31 29 40 Manchester United
2049
+9
2058
1957-19581957/09/21 Premier League Manchester United
2077
+7
2084
57 24 19 Arsenal FC
1986
-7
1979
1956-19571957/02/09 Premier League Manchester United
2104
+8
2112
61 22 16 Arsenal FC
1975
-8
1967
1956-19571956/09/29 Premier League Arsenal FC
1917
-8
1909
27 28 44 Manchester United
2101
+8
2109
1955-19561956/03/17 Premier League Arsenal FC
1859
+2
1861
29 29 42 Manchester United
2021
-2
2019
1955-19561955/11/05 Premier League Manchester United
1949
-5
1944
58 24 19 Arsenal FC
1853
+5
1858

If you have any inquiries, hints, corrections or ideas for improvement, please drop me an E-Mail.

© 2017|2022 elofootball.com - Impressum/Imprint - Legal Notice